Author Topic: A National Insulation Scheme instead of more banker bailing?  (Read 2775 times)

heinbloed

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Re: A National Insulation Scheme instead of more banker bailing?
« Reply #15 on: May 17, 2012, 10:50:55 PM »
J Ingram asks:

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So you need to burn wood (pellets) to achieve these figures for the 60% ST house , is the CO2 and other potential  negative of this considered when compairing them to the PH model ?


Yes, the negative impact on timber fuel is standardised in Germany's fuel balance sheets (also in the EU) with 'minus 10%'. Meaning for each kWh of purchased timber fuel 0.1 kWh are put on the negative side. For the chain saw and transport, replanting.

Or: Only 90% of the timber fuel is accounted for in climate impact studies as CO2 neutral.


A theoretical number used for statistical purposes.
One can argue if pellets made in a boreal forrest and imported for cheap match this.
The German (and EU) standard takes it for granted that the timber fuel isn't transported for more than - I think- 150 km, raw stems to the pellet factory and pellets to the incinerator. Check this out , CO2 balance for timber fuel for your country/location.
From what I've read pellets for the UK are already imported from Canada, in Belgium this is getting to expensive. The Dutch are still clinging to this type of CO2 balancing....



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I recently looked for my area and 6m2 of ST gave around 1500kWh/a so for a  70kWh/m2a  

Check these numbers. Low harvest temperatures usually result in a higher harvest. The report states that a surface emitter (UFH) is used to compare the numbers, low flow and return temperatures.
« Last Edit: May 17, 2012, 10:53:21 PM by heinbloed »

Ken Neal

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Re: A National Insulation Scheme instead of more banker bailing?
« Reply #16 on: May 18, 2012, 01:36:47 AM »
If you're talking about the same design house, I can't see why a 55kW house using pellets and ST should emit more CO2.  There must be a flaw in their methodology there.  It does not compute!!

They haven't compared a PassivHaus using the same pellets and ST as the 55 and 75kw houses.  Going from gas to pellets has only to drop the CO2 produced by 2kg and the PassivHaus is as good as the 75kW house.

This sounds like a carefully crafted study to produce the result that the client, the solar industry, wanted, i.e. that solar is better than insulation.  I have found in the past in the UK that the solar industry in its desperation to sell its product is quite willing to bend the truth to its advantage so why shouldn't the German industry do the same in the here and now?

While I will agree that the gas in gas filled windows might only last 10 to 40 years, I would like to see your evidence for external insulation not lasting. I first specified external insulation on a job in the late 1970s and that is still going strong.  A passivhaus in the UK is quite likely to be a cavity construction as used in the Green Building Store Passivhaus.  Rockwool Cavity wall batts used in that type of construction, supported by wall ties throughout the height of the wall and protected from mechanical damage and UV degradation by the external brick, are highly unlikely to degrade at all and certainly not in 40 years.  As far as I know Rockwool was first used in the late forties/early fifties and early installations are still in use.

The use of a 40 year design life to compare costs is just plain stupid.  1960s and 70s blocks of flats are being demolished in that sort of time frame but houses are not.  According the the English Housing Survey 2008 (http://www.communities.gov.uk/documents/statistics/pdf/1750754.pdf) 21% of our houses were built before 1919.  There are plenty of houses around which were built hundreds of years before that.  There is no reason why houses built now shouldn't last that long provided they are well built.   In a future of rapidly rising fuel prices and even shortages, depending on whom you believe, there will not be a great deal of knock down and rebuild or "remodeling" or even new build because it just won't be affordable. Teh embodied energy will be too expensive.  The housing stock will just get older.

It is vitally important that we build our new houses to the highest spec with the lowest possible requirement for maintenance as parts will get increasingly expensive and difficult to source.  A badly insulated house with a broken solar heating system will be useless.  So the best way of building a house, as far as I'm concerned, is to build a heavyweight passive house, not a PassivHaus but to those insulation standards, which will just sit in its garden and be comfortable in all weathers.  Passive stack ventilation with no moving parts such as the Ventive system, quality windows, double or triple glazed but don't count on the gas fill over the long term, properly orientated with heavy lined curtains and multiple redundant heating and cooking systems, i.e. passive solar (primary), a quality wood stove and/or possibly a wood burning cooker (not pellets or chips), solar hot water and a gas cooker (for now).

The heavy weight well insulated structure will carry over heat for a few days and in the case of an underground building, such as the Hockerton houses, will not need any additional heat source throughout the year.  A few logs occasionally will top up the temperature and add to the feeling of comfort.  A modicum of solar hot water heating and an off grid PV system will provide for DHW, baths and showers and lighting, until replacement parts can't be sourced any more.

heinbloed

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Re: A National Insulation Scheme instead of more banker bailing?
« Reply #17 on: May 18, 2012, 12:47:33 PM »
Ken Neil states:

Quote
If you're talking about the same design house, I can't see why a 55kW house using pellets and ST should emit more CO2.  There must be a flaw in their methodology there.  It does not compute!!


I do not understand what this means: a 55kW house emitting more CO2 than what?

Quote
They haven't compared a PassivHaus using the same pellets and ST as the 55 and 75kw houses.

That is correct. The CO2 emissions from a similar PH equipped with pellet heating (DHW and space heating) would be even worse.
The heating system's usage would be much less due to the low demand of thermal energy of the PH, it's life time expectation the same.

Don't forget that everything has an end. Insulation, boilers and stoves. These things need maintenance and replacement, otherwise the entire structure becomes useless.
The entire CO2 balance has to be taken into account, all works, all materials. Purchased equipment has to work, has to perform as much as possible. Idle machinery is dead capital, is expensive.
A PH with pellet boiler and ST system costs more than a PH with gas boiler. Or direct electric heating.
Get your economics straight. 

We have had similar discussions about the durability of external wall insulation, check the previous threads.
In my experience this type of insulation can last but can fail as well.
1 EWI job failure destroys the calculated energy and CO2  balance sheet of hundreds of non-failures. Nothing is gained in such a case. Think globaly.

To use different investment failure samples:
Arms can protect against wild animals, but most arms are used against people. Humanity's arms handling balance sheet is negative. Same goes for car usage and so on.
 
As said: check the previous threads, there are many samples listed where investments in EWI have failed due to rot, decay,fire and an endless maintenance scheme. Became life threatening risks. Asbestos, mineral fibres, fungal spores, fire retardents, anti-biotics ....


Sure the insulation industry ( many billions of dollars/pounds/euros heavy ) can provide us with a similar study? Showing a CO2/energy balance sheet based on total calculations?
They would be shooting into their own foot like the arms industry, hence nothing the like they show.

Fraunhofer society, the IEA, ECOFIS and Sarazin bank have much more detailed studies done on this type of research. The outcome was always the same: a total energy balance sheet/CO2 balance sheet asks for electric heated tents as the most "green" form of housing.

The more we move away from the absolute minimum of a protective structure the more capital is needed. In a capitalistic society there are victims of capital aglomeration. The more money is gathered the more victims there will be.

The higher the expenditures on buildings are the more negative their energy balance sheets become.

A simple economical fact which does not have to be discussed - I think.

Quote

The use of a 40 year design life to compare costs is just plain stupid.

That's correct. The Germans calculate 30 years of life time expectation per EWI treated building, those who try to sell them with a guaranteed performance of more than 30 years are called " plain stupid ". And those who buy such marketing slogans as well.
After this: demolition, new job with new prices. Nothing is saved, only the builders,banks and manufacturers profit.

There are many EWI structures which last longer. But there are also many which last shorter.
The  life time expectation for plastic foams used for EWI is 30 years, PH or not.

There are more expensive materials and EWI insulation methods like foamed concrete and foamed glas. These materials don't rot, don't burn, don't leach out fungizides and algicides and other biozides, last as long as the bricks. But usage of these materials asks as well for a higher price, a longer pay-back period as well. Longer than the original buyer's life time/economical part taking in our society is expected.

If someone has other studies available on the insulation issue (looking at the total energy balance/CO2 equivalents) then publish them.

About the glass panes:

The life time expectation for cheap gas filled dubble glazing is 10 years. No manufacturer gives more than 10 years on the performance. Only very few manufacturers do so - for an extra charge of course.
And this for a very good reason: This 10 year performance guarantee drives the price per pane up by 100% compared to the normal 2 year guarantee.
And that is the principle of all insulants, the better they are (life time expectation) the more they cost.

.........

Performance guarantees for solar equipment ? 25 years.
A ST/PV combi panel with a 10 year performance guarantee is already cheaper than a triple glazing pane of the same size with a 2 year guarantee. Insulating  better and gaining more energy for the building.

........

Wasting building surfaces to clutter them with insulants is bad building practice. Very wastefull, very bad for the planet and the home owner's pocket.

There is a very good reason why building regulations have to force thermal insulation on to homeowners/-builders. Since the economics don't ad up. Otherwise the market would ask for more thermal insulation without being forced by law.

Well, that's the official position of the German home owner association. They have studied the issue as well.
Would you like to read their statements?

The commonly used term for this economical insulation madness in Germany is "Daemmwahn", check google or the like. Is there a similar British term?

What is the official position of the British home owner association? The British consumer organisation?

 

 


   



Ken Neal

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Re: A National Insulation Scheme instead of more banker bailing?
« Reply #18 on: May 18, 2012, 02:45:53 PM »
That's quite a rant, HB.
Quote
I do not understand what this means: a 55kW house emitting more CO2 than what?

I meant that why should a 55kW house produce more CO2 than a 75kW one.  You have answered this indirectly in your last post, I think.  I assume that you include the embodied CO2 in the calculation.

We have a difference in our philosophical approach to this it would seem and I don't think any amount of argument or quoting of conflicting research will change either of our positions.  With all the economic problems we have in the west and with the transfer of economic power to the east, the west is going to become very much poorer with the result, as I said before, that house building and alteration will become a thing of the past.  The maintenance and replacement of complicated systems will become difficult, at best, and very expensive.  Fuels, including wood, will also become very much more expensive and things like wood pellets even more so because of the technical requirements and energy used in production.  In view of that I will continue with the maximum insulation approach using durable materials in a protected environment, i.e. Rockwool in a masonry cavity wall with a high thermal mass inner skin.

If you're worried about fire damage, that is going to affect any type of structure, a 55kW, 75kW or PH, equally so is a spurious argument.  A simple, well built wood burning stove, be it cast iron or stone, can last for hundreds of years with minimal maintenance.  Replacement firebricks can be manufactured in a very low tech environment. 

If you calculate the CO2 balance using an artificially low life span you get all sorts of weird effects, as demonstrated in your quoted study.  German houses might fall down after 30 years but British houses seem to be made of sterner stuff!! ;)  They might not have been as well insulated, nor as air tight but we expect them to stand for at least 60 years and as I quoted above 25% at least should last for a hundred years. 

With the loss of CHEAP energy most will have to last a lot longer.  I'm willing to take a punt on houses with high insulation levels being more comfortable and affordable to live in in 100 years than one which relies on a mechanical system to keep it warm.  But then neither of us will be around to find out.

heinbloed

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Re: A National Insulation Scheme instead of more banker bailing?
« Reply #19 on: May 22, 2012, 09:51:21 PM »
Ken Neil wanted to know how a CO2 balance sheet is done comparing various sources of thermal energy.

See for example here page 2 (Treibhausgase CO2 Aequivalent), right column, numbers according to GEMIS 2009:

http://www.iwu.de/fileadmin/user_upload/dateien/energie/werkzeuge/kea.pdf

from

http://www.iwu.de/en/institut/



Kerosene............302 g CO2 equivalents/kWh energy
Natural gas H......244 g CO2
LPG......................263 g CO2
Coal.....................438 g CO2
Lignite..................451 g CO2
Timber chips...........35 g CO2
Timber logs...............6 g CO2
Timber pellets..........41 g CO2

So a PH with gas boiler will emit more CO2/a (despite that it has to provide less thermal energy) when compared to a low insulated house heated with timber and solar energy.
 
A PH - or in general: thermal insulation more than necessary to protect the building's structure is of no benefit to the environment when comparing the emissions between a renewable fuel supply and a non-renewable fuel supply.

The situation changes in multi apartment blocks, here the insulation effort per m2 of habitated surface is reduced. And renewable combustion energy becomes economically viable.

The project PassREg "Passive House Regions with Renewable Energy" is looking at this issue now, try google for further information.
The PH ( or heavily insulated house) as a stand-alone single-family structure has no future concerning the CO2 targets we should meet. It's CO2 balance is - absolute - negative.



 

Ken Neal

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Re: A National Insulation Scheme instead of more banker bailing?
« Reply #20 on: May 23, 2012, 01:20:16 AM »
Just build a heavy weight passive house rather than a PassivHaus and put in a wood burning stove or if you must have a light weight structure build it with a Kacheloven (heat retention) type of stove.  In the case of the heavy weight house the structure absorbs any excess heat and releases it over a longer period and in the case of the lightweight structure the kacheloven releases the heat produced over a long period.

In the UK, where it is more common to build a number of houses in a development, it would be sensible to build in a district heating scheme run off a central wood chip or large log boiler..  This is just what I am doing with the eco hamlet of 8 houses that I am planning for my small holding.

There's no need to scimp on the insulation just to justify putting in an oversized wood burner.
« Last Edit: May 23, 2012, 01:24:21 AM by Ken Neal »

heinbloed

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Re: A National Insulation Scheme instead of more banker bailing?
« Reply #21 on: May 23, 2012, 11:24:23 PM »
A question concerning the average lifetime expectation of insulation jobs:


What are the calculated (better:statistically researched) numbers for EWI used by British architects?

 

Ken Neal

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Re: A National Insulation Scheme instead of more banker bailing?
« Reply #22 on: May 24, 2012, 05:01:15 AM »
I don't know.  As you want to know perhaps you could do the research and no doubt you will let us all know.

heinbloed

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Re: A National Insulation Scheme instead of more banker bailing?
« Reply #23 on: June 01, 2012, 02:19:09 PM »
Considering that PV is now en par/ more efficient in harvesting solar energy than common ST systems (common as in North-Western Europe:pressurised, glycol)

the solar house running on PV for space heating and DHW
should be further discussed:

http://www.solarthermalworld.org/node/3495

Maybe a PV house is  more CO2 saving than the solar thermal house ?




Bailing out the bankers means to increase the private and public debts. For example via with mortgages on housebuilding, the banks make a living on debts after all.
Increase the building cost and they have champagne for breakfast.

PV installations pay for themself in cash money, no bank needed. Thermal insulation doesn't.
« Last Edit: June 01, 2012, 02:25:17 PM by heinbloed »

J Ingram

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Re: A National Insulation Scheme instead of more banker bailing?
« Reply #24 on: June 01, 2012, 08:40:08 PM »
Quote
Maybe a PV house is  more CO2 saving than the solar thermal house ?
I was thinking along theses line the other day.
I've PV on my place , but left some space for ST for my Hot water . Thinking of just adding more PV and using this to trickle energy into an immersion. I know ST gives better output/m2, but PV is so simple relative to a DHW ST sys. and at 65-80p/Wp its very attractive.

Either way, to get enough up there (on my roof), PV or ST, to supply energy to heat the place during peak demand, without a shed load of insulation seems impossible.
Still interested in some cradle to grave costings to show a negative balance sheets for insulation with regard to energy efficient refurbishment or EWI refurb. if you've got one HB
cheers

« Last Edit: June 01, 2012, 08:42:02 PM by J Ingram »

heinbloed

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Re: A National Insulation Scheme instead of more banker bailing?
« Reply #25 on: June 02, 2012, 06:42:24 PM »
J Ingram wrote:

Quote
Still interested in some cradle to grave costings to show a negative balance sheets for insulation with regard to energy efficient refurbishment or EWI refurb.

Each building job has to be calculated on an individual base. There is no formula which answers all questions.

Looking at the money spending or energy saving issues a calculator does the trick.

When someone puts up - using Ken Neal's sample - 50,000 pounds worth of insulation and this has to make up for an expected 30 years then about £1,700 have to be saved anually.
If this investment is financed with debts (a mortgage over 30 years) we must assume savings worth 2-3 times that amount, £ 3,400 - £ 5,400 per year. Without maintenance costs, without demolishing and replacement costs etc..
Year after year, despite degration of the thermal insulation properties (the aging of the material/installation). To break even, not to save anything. The hustle of organising and worrying about extra meassures isn't included in this sum.

There are consultants who will do this calculation, give advise on the ratio of energy usage versus energy saving meassures. And offer a limited guarantee, ask the right questions, sign the right contracts.

One here , I have nothing to do with the company:

http://www.econsult.me.uk/

 

  
 
« Last Edit: June 02, 2012, 09:26:55 PM by heinbloed »

J Ingram

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Re: A National Insulation Scheme instead of more banker bailing?
« Reply #26 on: June 03, 2012, 02:41:56 PM »
Quote
Each building job has to be calculated on an individual base. There is no formula which answers all questions.
I presumed you might have some examples, , it would be odd if you hadn't done or seen such calculations yourself as evidence, as you appear so convinced by your claims.

The cost of organising a co2/energy balance sheet for each individual project would increase the cost of each project reducing the ROI in each case.
Surely you'd agree there are many examples of using insulation which would clearly give a good ROI without the need for a full ROI/CO2 assessment.
edit.
Not that detailed, but a interesting article on an energy eff. refurb. with high levels of insulation , assessing energy use 2 years post works
“Vernacular PassivHaus?” 
http://davidhayhow.co.uk/?cat=9
« Last Edit: June 03, 2012, 04:37:19 PM by J Ingram »

Ken Neal

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Re: A National Insulation Scheme instead of more banker bailing?
« Reply #27 on: June 12, 2012, 02:29:39 AM »
Of the £50k that Heinblod talks about £20k was spent on PV so the insulation only cost £30k.  Heinblod conveniently forgets about inflation.  Once the insulation is installed it doesn't cost anything to run and, if installed properly, doesn't require maintenance or replacement parts.  Fuel for heating costs quite a bit of money and will increase in price in the future as the BRICS economies are still growing strongly and that growth is based on large increases in fuel use.

This report on fuel price inflation and low income earners quotes levels of fuel price inflation

Quote
In particular, domestic fuel prices rose very rapidly during 2006 and again in 2008: fuel price inflation reached a peak of almost 40 per cent in September 2008. Between January 1997 and December 2010, electricity prices rose by 67 per cent and gas prices increased by 139 per cent, compared with a rise of 48 per cent in the overall Retail Price Index (RPI) over the same period.

The gas price increase of 139% in 13 years only equates to an annual increase of about 6% which is not a large increase in recent history.  Fuel prices have dropped quite a bit in the last few weeks but this trend is not likely to continue unless world growth drops considerably.  If that happens worldwide economic chaos would ensue followed by large scale unemployment throughout the world.  People would then not be able to afford to heat their homes.  If world economic growth continues the fuel prices will again rise to unaffordable levels.  Quoting the same report

Quote
We are also aware that the substantial increase in fuel poverty – from 1.2 million households in England in 2004 to a projected 4 million in 2010 – is largely due to increased fuel prices1.

Large scale insulation would reduce this figure very considerably.  The installation of SHW or PV would still leave these households vulnerable to high winter fuel prices as they don't generate any energy at the time that it is wanted.

I first got into sustainable building in 1975 when CAT were just starting and there was a lot in the papers about their solar heating systems with seasonal heat stores to keep themselves warm though the winter.  As we were buying a bungalow in need of renovation at the time I thought that I could utilize this system myself.  When I did the calculations I found that the heat store required to maintain the house temperature was too big to fit in the space in front of the house.  I did some insulation calculations to reduce the size of the heat store required and it soon became apparent that I should forget the "high tech" solution and just go with super insulation with a very small supplementary heat source.  That set me on the course that I now espouse.  I don't think that the fundamentals have changed in the last nearly forty years.
« Last Edit: June 12, 2012, 02:37:07 AM by Ken Neal »

 

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